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Oil Revolution: Iran's answer to the West

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The riots spread to the oil-rich Arab countries. During the clashes with police in Bahrain on February14-15, at least two protesters were killed. What is the cause of such instability in Bahrain? It would seem that one of the richest "oil cats" of the Persian Gulf cannot be threatened in principle.

However, despite the seeming luster, not everything is well in this country. The majority of its population is Shiites, including those who have moved here from Iran to earn money. Many are immigrants from other countries. As a result, 15 percent of working-age population is unemployed.

It should be noted that the current outbreak of violence took the authorities by surprise. The foreign minister of Bahrain Khalid bin Ahmed Al Khalifa said that there were no reasons for the violence there, as rallies and any other protests are not banned by the laws of the kingdom.

However, the unrest is caused by the fact that the majority of the population is dissatisfied with the fact that power is in the hands of the Sunni minority, which is less than 20 percent. As a result, the bulk of wealth from oil settles in the pockets of Sunnis, while all the others, especially the Shiites, whose share of total population is approaching 70 percent, get the least.

Now, to calm down the protesters, the authorities use not only a stick, which has shown not to be effective in Egypt, but also a carrot. The authorities of the kingdom said they will give 2700 dollars to each family, lower food prices and increase social benefits.
Will this satisfy the Shiites who form the backbone of malcontents? It is doubtful. Not by chance the King of Bahrain Hamad bin Isa al-Khalifa accused Iranian intelligence, who allegedly orchestrated the rallies of the opposition, of organizing the riots.

Iran virtually does not recognize Bahrain in the form in which it exists. It claims that the islands that make up this state  used to belong to the ancient Persian Sassanid state since the 4th century AD, and that the Persians lost control of it only because the machinations of the Western colonizers, first Portuguese and then British.

In part, the Iranians can be understood. The independence of the territory they consider theirs, as claimed by the Persians themselves, was provided by the British. In doing so they planted a bomb under the foundation of the stability of the region as a whole.

Since 1970, the Shah Iran has been openly claiming Bahrain and other islands in the Persian Gulf. However, the ruling dynasty Pahlavi has agreed with the British "not to pursue" their claims on Bahrain if their "other requirements" are met.

Despite the obscureness of such wording, while the shah ruled Iran, complications could be avoided. However, after the Islamic Revolution of 1979, Ayatollah voided many of the agreements of the shah to the West, including those relating to Bahrain.

It would be naive to believe that Iran, that has claimed the control over these territories earlier, has abandoned these claims now, when oil-rich fields have been discovered there.

It is no accident that the Ayatollah Khomeini never got tired of repeating that sooner or later "the corrupt pro-American regimes would fall." First and foremost, it was said about Bahrain. In 1981, Shiite radicals from the Islamic Front for the Liberation of Bahrain tried to overthrow the king. Their actions were led by Hudzhatul Islam al-Hadi Mudarrisi. He was a man who came from Bahrain, lived in Iran and had authority among Shiites.

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Although this attempt was defeated, the Shiites remained a restless element in the kingdom. In 1994, they provoked a wave of unrest, complaining about the fact that in Bahrain women were allowed to participate in sports competitions.

The situation in this country cannot but concern the Americans. Bahrain not only gives the oil to the West, but also provides American military presence. Will the country's ruling dynasty be able to cope with a wave of unrest? The fall of monarchy in Bahrain can trigger "oil revolutions" in all the Gulf monarchies.

Sergey Demidenko with the Institute of Strategic Studies and Analysis shared his thoughts in an interview with Pravda.ru:

"Of course, in recent decades, Shia has been a very restless element. However, we should attribute their riots solely to Iran. Of course, the king of Bahrain is pursuing well-defined goal - to shift the blame. In general, this is a tradition for many of the rulers of Arab countries.

Yet, will it continue indefinitely? While the population of Bahrain has continued to increase significantly (although not as fast as in Egypt), per capita incomes are falling. In particular, due to the depletion of oil fields. Sooner or later, the Bahraini monarchy will have serious problems."

Sergei Balmasov
:flag:

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Don't worry about Bahrain .
We and the US will ensure it remains in safe hands -- ours-- and anyone trying to muscle into the act will be dealt with quite firmly .
The Bahrain monarchy will only go with Saudi Arabia's  tacit blessing and the US having arranged who will next be in power .

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Why Iran? Why not Israel?

In spite of the difficulties, which UN sanctions created, Iran continues to develop its nuclear technologies. The report, which was delivered to the UN Security Council, contains information about multiple violations of international sanctions imposed against Iran for the country's refusal to shut down its nuclear program. International experts have thus acknowledged the inefficiency of previous methods of putting pressure on the Islamic Republic.
According to experts, the only achievement of the sanctions is the fact that Iran's nuclear developments became slower and more expensive. However, Teheran will sooner or later achieve its goal anyway, the report says. Time delays are not that significant, and Iran will have enough time to realize more than just one nuclear project.

According to the report, Iran finds around about ways owing to dummy companies and secret funds. To prove the point, the experts refer to the recent detention of a cargo vessel in Singapore. The cargo on board the arrested vessel was supposedly meant for Iran's missile program.

It seems strange that the report uses such words as "supposedly". One has to have conclusive evidence to set forth such serious claims to the country. Nevertheless, the authors of the report offered to blacklist Behineh Trading Co. company, which, according to their information, was connected with the arrested cargo from China.

The mentioning of China is not incidental. Russia refused to ship S-300 missile systems to Iran. China could become a successful replacement for Russia in the deal: the country arranged its own production of S-300 complexes. Two weeks after Russia's decision, Iran proudly displayed its own systems at a military parade. The systems demonstrated in Iran were most likely of the Chinese origin. Iran desperately needs such systems to defend its territory against possible attacks from Israel and the United States.

It is worthy of note that the above-mentioned report also sets claims against Iran's closest ally - Syria. According to the document, Iran receives the necessary materials with Syria's help. It particularly goes about conventional arms. Needless to say that the West is waging a large-scale informational war against Syria to overthrow Bashar Assad's regime.

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Iran plays a very important role in China's economy since the Islamic Republic is the primary supplier of oil to the Celestial Empire.

The West will not be able to make Iran stop its nuclear program with the help of sanctions. In addition to sanctions, the West conducts intelligence operations against the country. Iranian leading nuclear physicists have been assassinated during the recent years. However, this method of struggle is also inefficient: new scientists continue the work of their predecessors.

The military scenario of the development of the situation becomes more and more actual. However, the Israeli administration, which is known for its fondness of weapon-rattling, has serious doubts about the need to strike Iran.

Mossad's former chief Meir Dagan criticized Netanyahu for his wish to strike a preventive blow on Israel. According to Dagan, an attack against Iran would be a silly action, because the country has many nuclear objects, including those, which Tel Aviv does not know at all.

It is worthy of note that the news about unsuccessful efforts of the international community to destroy the Iranian nuclear program coincided with reports saying that Teheran had received another batch of uranium for its first nuclear power plant in Bushehr.

It is important to say here that the Iranian nuclear program was launched during the era of shah Pahlavi, who used to be an ally of the United States. The then Iranian administration harbored plans during the 1960s to reduce the nation's dependence on hydrocarbons with the help of 23 nuclear power plants. The Americans reached out a helping hand to the shah. The USA handed over a nuclear reactor to the USA in 1967. In 1974, German and French firms started to build the Bushehr nuclear plant, which Russia completed.

The cooperation was put to a standstill after the pro-Western regime in Iran collapsed. Teheran stopped dancing to the tunes of the West. Years later, Iran returned to its nuclear project, but was very surprised to find out that the West no longer allowed it. Iran became a rogue state just because it no longer wanted to be a servant to the US.

Iran's politics does not depend on any other country. China compromises with its conscience and turns a blind eye on NATO's aggression in Libya. The Islamic Republic simply ignores any pressure that the West is trying to put on it.

Nowadays, the country says that it has to continue the development of the nuclear program to guarantee national security. The international community has no reasons whatsoever for putting pressure on Iran. No one has managed to prove that Iran's nuclear program has a military character. For some reason, it does not occur to anyone to attack North Korea - the country that already has nuclear arms.

However, the international community is certain that as soon as Iran has nuclear weapons at its disposal, it will attack Israel, and the Third World War will begin. What about Israel? This country has a nuclear arsenal, not to mention the fact that Israel has the experience of armed conflicts with neighboring states (e.g. in 1956, 1967 and in 1982). Iran never attacked anyone after the Islamic Revolution of 1979. Quite on the contrary, the West set Iraq against Iran in 1980. Why Israel can do the things, which Iran is not allowed to do?

Sergei Balmasov
:flag: :flag:  :flag:

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